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USemploymentUpdated 4d ago

Jobs vs breakeven: US monthly payroll change

Monthly change in US nonfarm payrolls vs a rough ~100k breakeven (an estimate, ~70–100k and declining) needed to hold the unemployment rate steady.

Jobs vs breakeven: US monthly payroll change
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (FRED) · PAYEMSData through Jun 2026 · Updated Jul 10, 2026

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Chixan (2026). Jobs vs breakeven: US monthly payroll change. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (FRED). https://chixan.com/charts/employment/us_jobs_vs_breakeven/

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