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How Restrictive Is the Fed, Really?

The real (inflation-adjusted) federal funds rate — nominal fed funds minus core PCE inflation. It reveals whether policy is actually restrictive or stimulative, which the headline rate hides.

How Restrictive Is the Fed, Really?
Source: Federal Reserve / BEA (FRED) · FEDFUNDS, PCEPILFEData through May 2026 · Updated Jul 14, 2026

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Chixan (2026). How Restrictive Is the Fed, Really?. Federal Reserve / BEA (FRED). https://chixan.com/charts/rates/us_real_policy_rate/

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